Winnipeg Free Press

Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - June 2, 1976, Winnipeg, Manitoba Winnipeg free press. Wednesday june 2, 1976 the Hill by Peter Thomson japanese unions Settle below guidelines to the pundits and recent Gal Lup polls the progressive conservatives stand a Good Chance of picking up John Turner s old seat of Onawa Carleton in the oct. 18 by election. Nevertheless there is no shortage of liberals willing to contest the Riding. To Date five have indicated their intention of seeking the Liberal nomination and there Are a couple of prominent names on the list. Sharon Gray is the wife of former consumer and corporate affairs minister Herb Gray the my for Windsor West and is a Veteran campaigner in her own right. Mrs. Gray worked on campaigns for or. Turner Back when he represented a Montreal Riding and again when he held Onawa Caine ton. V Tom Mcdougall is an Ottawa lawyer and a former Al Derman and controller in the capital. He ran for the lib eral nomination in Ottawa South but lost out to Hugh Poulin the last time around. Geoffrey Lalonde is executive assistant to Public works minister Bud Drury and has been actively work ing on getting the nomination for quite some time. Henry Rouque is the Reeve of Cumberland county and an assistant professor at the University of Ottawa. Michael Houlton gained some prominence when he ran for the Ontario Liberal leadership recently although he did t gain much Delegate support. There have been no formal announcements yet from conservative candidates for the nomination but there have been plenty of rumours in the past few months. First it was rumoured that conservative party pres ident Michael Meighen would seek the nomination but lately that has been pretty Well discounted. The most prominent name being mentioned As a Poten tial tory candidate is that of Bert Lawrence a former minister i the Ontario government. Steve Langdon a Carleton University professor has announced he will seek the nip nomination in Ottawa Carleton. Although the St. John s West by election will be held the same Day there have As yet been no formal entries into the nomination races. There have been rumours John Crosbie a Newfoundland Cabinet minister will seek the conserva Tive nomination in the seat vacated by Walter Carter last fall so that he could rim in the Newfoundland election. Both liberals and tories in Ottawa admit that the tightening of unemployment insurance regulations announced in last week s budget will not help their chances in the Newfoundland Riding where unemployment runs High. Normally the government would lose and the opposition party gain from unpopular legislation. However in this Case the government iras swung Over and taken what has been the conservative position. The nip Are making the most political mileage Possi ble out of the situation. Their sub amendment to the budget Confidence motion simply regrets that he government proposes to lengthen the qualifying period to 12 from eight weeks. Presumably the tories will have to vote with the government against the nip amendment which won t help the cause in St. John s West. In the 1974 general election or. Turner won Ottawa Carleton for the liberals with votes. The conservative bad votes and the nip candidate in St. John s West or. Carter won with votes to 8.864 for the Liberal for the nip candidate and 143 for the sacred. With Liberal popularity at Low ebb and a promised Cabinet shake up coming this summer speculation is starting on who will be dropped from and added to the Cabinet. Three members of the old works min ister Bud Drury House Leader Mitchell Sharp and environment minister Jean Marchand Are on everyone s list of ministers who Are Likely to go. Whether they arc on prime minister Trudeau s list is a More significant Point. All three of the ministers mentioned above have been in the Cabinet for a decade or More and although their counsel in Cabinet is undoubtedly appreciated they can not be said to be adding much in a positive Way to the government s image. There has been some suggestion that 5n View present government unpopularity or. Trudeau might Cut much deeper into his Cabinet and bring on new ministers to help create a new image before the next elec Tion. A deep Cut would be out of character with or. Tru Deau s past p performance. Usually his promised shake up have turned out to be a minimum shiver although on one occasion he dropped five ministers at one time. The Only serious criticism at that time related to drop Ping of Herb Gray a hard working if uninspiring min ister. Should or. Trudeau Cut deeper than the old guard this tile the one most Likely to go according to most Pun dits is Secretary of state Hugh Faulkner. Defence min ister James Richardson is regarded As another who could be in the prime ministerial out Basket As could labor minister John Munro. There is no shortage of replacement Talent in the lib eral Back benches. J among those most prominently mentioned As Cabinet material Are Monique begin and Francis Fox from que John Reid and Tony Abbott from Ontario Cliff Mcisaac from Saskatchewan and Lona Campanola from . There is also a possibility that or. Trudeau will bring former consumer and corporate affairs minister Andre Ouellet Back into the Cabinet. One thing about the Cabinet changes that seems fairly certain is that few of the major portfolios will be touched. Dor Macdonald in finance Don Jamieson in Industry Trade and Commerce Otto Lang in transport Ron Basford in Justice and Alastair Gillespie in Energy mines and resources have been in their present portfolios for less than a year. To change any of them would create the danger of the appearance that they had quickly failed. Marc Lalonde had been in health and welfare for a longer period and would be due for a shift but the ques Tion is put him so that it would not appear to be a demotion. External affairs minister Allan Maceachen is another senior who has been in his Post Long enough that he could be moved out without it reflecting on his performance but the question of where to move him again arises. The los Angeles times last of a series Tokyo Japan s two top Union executives have announced their intention to resign. Secretary general Shogo Oki and chairman Makoto Ichi Kava of Soho Japan s largest labor federation said they were taking personal responsibility for labor s showing in the annual Spring wage struggles the latest of which peaked in april. Although some wage settlements still remain to be Ham mered out officials of Nik Keiren the National employers. Federation said annual wage increases would average about a month or about 8.5 per cent. It was not Only a far cry from the or 20 per cent monthly increase the militant left leaning Soho federation had set As its target. It also was the second straight year in which Soho failed to break Nik Keiren wage guidelines and the first time since 1963 that the annual wage increase has been held below 10 per cent. After labor unions won a 33 per cent average wage in crease in 1974 against a background of spiralling inflation Nik Keiren set a wage guidepost of holding increases to 15 per cent last year. Settlements were worked out at an even lower level of 13 per cent. This year s wage settlements underscored the fact that average workers in Japan Are far More conservative and traditional than their leaders. Unions still give primary loyalty to their companies not to their labor federations. Tadao Nakazono Secretary general of the Fukuoka Divi Sion of Domei Japan s second largest labor federation summed up the recent settlements. This year for the first time management showed us the company books. They have never done that before. The result was that we settled for what they could although there was growing agreement that Japan was now emerging from its Vorst postwar recession production Levels were still depressed to pre Oil crisis standards of 1973. Nearly a third of the larger companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange suffered losses in half year earnings reported last september. Although collective bargaining in Japan gives the appear Ance of a coordinated National movement the real bargain ing is done Between individual companies and their own labor unions. Virtually no strikes have occurred in recent years in manufacturing companies. Wages including overtime bonuses family and housing allowances and transportation fees paid by companies shot up from 5200 a month in 1970 to a month last year. This year s wage settlements will mean japanese workers will average slightly less than a month in compensation after the multiplying effect of bonuses is included. Bonuses Are paid to workers twice a year in the summer and at the end of the year. Originally they were meant to give employers leeway to adjust wages on the basis of corporate earnings in any Given period. Although some Bonus payments still retain a Trace of that leeway they have be come one of the major Points of collective bargaining and frequently Are negotiated simultaneously with wage Settle ments. Dental and medical costs Are covered by government insurance systems to which both workers and corporations Eon tribute. These contributions however Are not enough to underwrite the costs of the dental and medical insurance sys tem and the balance conies from the government s tax Rev Enue a feature which keeps corporate expenditures on fringe benefits lower than it could be expected to be if the worker and corporation alone financed the entire program. In family allowance a relatively nominal sum is added to a worker s monthly pay Cheque for having a wife. A second sum is added for the first child a lower sum for these cond child. Most companies then Stop adding for further Chil Dren. An average family allowance for a worker with a wife and two children would be something like a month. The tendency is toward eliminating this allowance. In the housing allowance Large companies maintain com Pany apartments and some Homes for employees but this varies widely. Companies also provide Loans at favourable in Terest rates to enable employees to buy their own Homes Al though this is limited to larger companies. Allowances paid to workers who Don t live in company houses Range around a month. In the transportation allowance workers for both Large and Small companies get All commuting fees paid by the company As Long As they use Public transportation. Payments average about s15 a month. Mandatory retirement except for employees who go on to become executives comes at age 55 i most Large Japa Nese companies. The Normal pattern for the average College graduate is to enter the company after graduation and work for that company Only until age 55. Whereupon he retires and receives a separation allowance. It is a Lump sum payment which is sufficient to finance Only a year or two of living expenses by itself. Thus the retired worker is forced to seek a new Job. 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