Winnipeg Free Press

Winnipeg Free Press {Newspaper} - 1981-05-06,Winnipeg, Manitoba It or copy France ponders Kremlin Factor focus by Don cd of Lili Angels b i inn hah is a in Ollil la 1 a Nch presi i Nihil to Lalicin Vui Ury tips uni d i is Iii Iii i Wivoda Ollil Upen Iii in Mikitik Ubati ii Durst Mienl i Iii Kremlin Jusi blurt i Sulci ii round i Bill using Iri a Ahiah he Dell Riihl Suci Alisi Fra tuis Milli or Wisd by Mure -170,0 10 Vries uni of j but in inure Ali Iii 2 i min Hon can i. Al he Lime a he Elu Cipun Giscard d a six Dpi it soil lie Iii Uslice As Fredith Iii wiil a Iii Issei Iii Ihu in via Simeni Lului Rem irined in Guowei Aller it Deuth if Presl Doit a Europa pumped ii. Minieri i Iii wus running Ai file candid the to Lii Cuini died of die lib a. Oil die first re Jund. I Schird t Sita nil pulled per Uei ii us the wide and the t in Hii Ini Lef Lisl Vult i Mii Lorrand la alled 4-� per be ii Ihei be Vei ii Ilie Twu rounds of Kulnig. The my Iisley us Hii Aiice Rio a tied a Tal Frisini the so Viel l Niba aay Sli Viii that Anibas adur Slep Aii Chei Vul a i Ike Wuu id like to meet Giscard d Lista Iii a site visibly Fiir a talk Abuit Tuituu so ii and Nat Teit by ii was tis a by a Unis a a i in headlines Itiat by this lie Ture the a id View uni Dpi was Ali ringing its support behind i i eur d Stu Iii i mislead us Iii what was. L Xinji to be a very Fly be contest. Cher Vul Zenku was clearly acting in in True ii uns. A inv it i us Siut d i ii Tih Iii is in a Lei Ruut a and lie would live been Mil us his mind to take such an Tajii alive at i Erie Iii Iii ment Ai a i rent i Eide Tina Catiti paid it ii he Lead Heen Lulu la Dii us. Mia Euver. A lie a Reid la Juninio Siisi i arty. Ult Hungli Bac Ittig Mit errand in i�o7i Vii Hunt any do Ith unit in Ilia race in fact adopted Campaign that Seemet Deli Bufia Seiy designed la scare the a Rench users Minlu d Eslari Iiga a Cul Mainii a Corn Munsil Dein ands Heij cately at the Iii Al stages us the Lam pain. Cumin unit party Leader Jeur is March is that tie Unini Nisis Woi Iid insist Nii Thuel or Izui it he Guven Zinent if Mitterrand won. In a grand , Morelia is said that. Iju Cuta be he would nut Insisi in the ministry i Interior or Diance url reign affairs but he a Multi Lite u 111 the Edrica Tuii Iii Istre or the Iii siry of health and Suciu l , or the of , a . Main Brand. Then locked in an Lliel ii Iii Al Liike wit i the cum insists. Squirmed and disavowed any to airy Billy in Abinel posts t it he Luald not wriggle out of Ilie Lati of his Kunii Muziii St partnership Lea remarkable degree a Ai least Niini ideally the Iasi French presidential Elee Iuit Whitfi tto my he decided at a sunday is sign far a replay Al 1. A i his i inc there is no ail Aiice Heitt Cen the Suc Alisis and a he conic Iii lists a Marchais was the Lisl rut ind candidate this time a but the combined left vote on the Fisl rutted was 4fi, per cent adj inst to i Pat Keiit ill 197-t, t he combined rightist vote of the and Uther a fur Giscard d i Stainis in Lav a per Cem and this time it was 4s,li2 per cent Hill tile Kremlin Nikac i gesture in Hel Ali of Gistard do Esi Aing this time it seems highly Kiili Klyr moreover Lille ii May Lune or ii u Welc Ujiie Etc Stuie Ler discard Dpi string the last Imine ii would be Down mraihi Engibar Rossini Mas time. Pans has been pias cred with stickers in map of a Scard d Esting jump sign posters Readin j Quot Brezhnev votes for Giscard d Esta Itig Quot and he Monde has Rule Only Analysed the subject Quot is Giscard do Esta my the Kremlin a candidate Quot gis cited d Cist Aisig has been attacked by he Paul hits fur not being pit ii enough Over tie Uviel incursion into Afghanistan and he has distinctly Nio Veti in the last eight Niue ills from Hia usual Easi West balancing act to it it ser relations with Washington surprising at the Niit set of the can Spain Early it March a correspondent in Paris produced a French election that was openly flattering to i a Scard d Estwing As Quot a and careful politician Quot while Miti Erranti wins dismissed As Quot tit having a Clear and consistent political program Quot this kind of comment would go unnoticed by the French in he free press anywhere in the West but its appearance in the a soviet press caused an instant but cry in Paris hat the Kremlin was indeed signalling its election preference fur Giscard Deestaing. A was in Sirull Ted to Issue a prompt i Stiv Wal saying thai it was doing a tithing but get mining the chances of All the i Rench candidates in a balanced num nor. It accused the French press of Quot juggling with facts a and indulging in a slander moreover a great Deai has changed tur the French communist party and ils Alliance with the Sot i allots in the last seven years. Having helped to so Tuttie a i97 1 Mitterrand presidential Victory the then went on in wreck the chances of the Teri a second Une in the legislative elections of 197s, by breaking their election compact with the socialist a in the vital pre election Campaign he Coni Iii lists opened the Way fora landslide fur the Gaulli ats and Giscard ians who Wen on to renew their control of the National Assembly by nearly 10 1 seats Bui the gum Tunisi party a voting strength has been Guing downhill steadily in the last decade and the Bottom fell out almost completely in the just completed first round preside filial vote. From its Normal strength of arum a 20 per cent it skidded to i5_i per cent a on a Par with the or Spanish commit lists meanwhile Mitterrand and the socialists climbed to almost 2fi per cent a major losses Marchais at least until new dominates the French communist party Vith a stalinist Iron hand but his leadership tactics have Eust it one Tju Arter of its Normal Pust War strength. In fact it is new at its lowest ebb since the Popup a front Days us if Iii. Clearly the communist faithful do Nul want Natiw to be mid to go out and so title yet another potential election Vicini v of the French Marchais has done another about Itce. In the first round of the Campaign he was vitriolic in his denunciations of Mitterrand and the socialists a attacking them with almost the same biting irony and Sar cism that he used on Giscard Deestaing Jacques Chirac and the right Wing of French politics. But faced wit i his miserable showing even in his own where the com minist vote fell by eight per cent he in effect thrown in the Towel ani3 Loid his party faithful flatly and unique in Ocaly Quot in do All tha is necessary to defeat Giscard d of string and vote in the Secu Iid round for the socialist candidate Quot i his time there Are no demands for cumin units at the ministries of education or health or labor As the Price fur sup Pofi for Mitterrand this time there Are no Upen signals from the Kremlin that it prefers Giscard d Esta ing to Mitterrand even though this May Well still be the ease. True if elected Francuis Mitterrand will have to conjure up support from somewhere in order to govern France effectively. He Walls certainly have to be the National Assembly by september or october if not earlier for it will by impossible to operate far very lung with a left Wing Cabinet and government against a right Wing majority in the legislature comm twist support will certainly be important for Mitterrand perhaps even necessary. But communist participation in the government is no longer a Millstone around Mitterrand a political neck going into the decisive second rain id. Since lat to the election Rolls in France have increased to More than nit Liun including several Mii Loti in the Lfl-2i age bracket who Are voting for a president Foi the first time thanks to a Giscard Deestaing Reform. As in 1974, the outcome May again turn of one Teilh of one per cent of the electorate. With the to Omni Nisis now us reduced in strength it will be difficult this time 10 state the Hench out of voting in Lavor us a change. French voters wonder if Francois Milter and left or Valery Giscard Deestaing is inc scowl a preferred presidents Victor. Is Trudeau Era drawing to a close 0t1awa the in wino i invent Ortii. . On a a the growing conventional Wisdom in Ottawa is that prime minister Trudeau having successfully Patriate the Cunt dilution with an amending formula and a charter of Kights will depart the Canadian political scene in september. Coins ent ional Wisdom it should be noted has been wrong in the past. Huw Eveir there Are some valid argue Nivenis supporting the Trudeau Depar Ture theory. One is that Federal pro Vincini Reia tons have become so soured with the Costim Tunal and Energy conflicts that Trudeau will leave for the Good of the country and the Liberal party. The prime minister recognizes that much of tic provincial and Public animosity is Dii eucled at him personally. Therefore he will be willing to leave Early so that a successor will have plenty of time before the next Federal election to head relations. This line of thinking obviously Pri it Vides plenty of room for speculation on Trudeau s possible successor. The three names that cons tacitly Rise to the lore Are John Turner the former Heit apparent who has Long since rejected Active politics for a Law prac lice Jean Chretien who is regarded As the Quebec minister who is most Saleable in Western Canada and Mian i Maceachen the Dep Tity prime minister Ottawa diary Peter Thomson and one person to whom Trudeau of i is a sizeable political debt. Maceachen once gave a the cherished external affairs portfolio to return As House Leader at Trudeau a request and it was Maceachen who engineered the tory defeat that returned Trudeau As prime minister after he had announced resignation As Liberal Leader one theory is that Trudeau will resign letting Maceac Bei take Over As interim Leader for a of Tuple of years so that a full scale leadership convention can be held on the eve of the next general election us that the liberals would carry convention moment uni into the Elet Tion As they did in 186s a it would also enable Chretien to non for the leadership without being a Quebec Leader Foi sowing another Quebec Leader and thus maintain the Liberal tradition of alternating Between French speak Hig and English in canine leaders. Turners chances would seem to hinge on the depth of divisions in the country Tive Ryone ack Towl does that he would be the Liest for Healing Vest Ern Ottawa relations. But Here Are Many in the Liberal party who Wuu id accept Turner with Reh Istance because he once left the government in an ii our of need. Environment minister Kuhn Huberts is another ontarian who is being raised to some prominence. Maceachen because he is bilingual Iti the wrong languages a English and gaelic a cannot really Hope for the leadership on Mure than an interim basis. Judges of the supreme min have heard in the past two Ive eks both extremes of views on relative Federal government and provincial Powers. Seven of the eight dissenting Prev utes have taken the position that unanimous provi Ithial agreement is needed for constitute Teal chair Gas affecting proving Ial Powers Ontario in its support of the Federal , has taken the position that it is within the Federal Power to abolish the provinces in espousing the latter position Ontario a Toniey Geiger Al Roy Mcmurtry allowed that it is something the Federal guv emment Tould never do. Somehow one suspects Quebec and several of the other provinces would like a Little More Assurance than that and would be prepared la Lake Drasyk Steps to ensure their sur Ivul. In Wisny event the represent Luns made Lefure the supreme i int Haf stressed but ii h the differences Ufie is us Cun federation and the of the decision to he rendered Bihe Cir a Nii Nur con Iruin Ersy is m Ontario a Rami to pulp and paper �1 Iai Pii Vince. A Laily the Urnari i assist mud Erni Aii ii Pru rams us pulp anal paper cum panic a a Lepari of n Federal program hot Airbed in la Heiji Canadian to manii i Minnikin their pus Niimi a Trade pulp nid paper is one of Canadas biggest foreign exch Iii a earners. The Cun Ruve -.s3 Irum a Jiuu. By Twu Lakehead University if i claim the companies Rui ild have afforded he Wilbur i government assistance. File Conri Overly in Civ ments inst ii is Prefi to. Hie la have governments putting Lune into i Idle. And Likely successful ii Ler Prises than Init tiie hrs Eis in tile a Sunui by Orniti St Iii id. In arc uni ii wifi a Iii in the a Atid Ihu ill file Ike n liitle More assure Liuti the Fri Hill ii the act humid. If idea Worth considering eau in list to Pevelu. Eqnall2rttion, in the words of former ,i he to. A. A a in Persily i West Iii a Nairn. has developed a new theory fur Shari Iii hit weal i Heine ii have Uii if have nut provinces or i Cutie Cherie s a Luo tier Quot system Wou Lii have re source Rich Prim vices make Ireci a i Meizis to Reso Ince Piir Unea. Eil Hei Triin Jjlia an Itier promo Cuil Revenue Puiul or Dammi tiered by Pluma this Secund her us est Ali Kinin would be in addition to the Currerii Etui in action paid �0 have it provinces by the Lederail Garter Meni from Federal revenues. A Tichene is Une of several Erimino to Nils to address the is civil Iii balance to can Ida i atsed by like enormous resource wealth created Liy skyrocketing costs. Fits idea has ii cited some nue Resi Omni Federal finance minister Llan Maceachen but is Vit wed with alarm by Western provi Cutai Gove Simenis. In an interview Courchene said lie recognized his two tier equalization would Noi be popular with the resource provinces . Bin he Powills out that the provinces might find it preferable to the alternative a re Skurtu Revenue grab by Olta a. Courchene is however surprised that Ottawa has expressed interest in his idea Hect Nise he believes n accords Mure with provincial rights than with the Centra Tisi nails of Hie current Fedex. Frances Russell Ai guv emment. For the first time provinces. Find not just Ottawa would he my tved in National administration. The chief problem with current is him Ottawa is required Luef Itallie for wealth without having direct Access to resource wealth. The Publ Era is ill Istrate graphic in. By by the figures. The total value of equal Ati ii paid by the Federal government to have not promo ices has Tri led in the last seven years from $1 billion 10 of Hillion mostly one to dra Mittic increases in Oil prices and revenues the Strain placed on Hie Federal Irea Story by nil wealth wealth it has Only limited Access to has led Ottawa to exch de half of Oil Royal lies from equal i ii tin of Ottawa had Noi put a Cap on the at mini of resource wealth used m calculate equalization Ihie the poor provinces the cur Ami Bill w uld total Sii billion it tie iwo Lier syst Iii is Idu i l t Sun a Lle Nealei Lelh s Hal �Ttl., save Ahton a a billion annually. The Linn a share of that saving would be Pic lied up by Alberta Courchene says however that there would be compensating factors for the resource provinces a was it stands new the Only Way canadians can share in albertan a wealth is to move to Alberta eventually this will place intolerable strains on the provinces economic and social Structure. In addition once provinces by come involved in direct payments to other provinces they can to have More say in National economic Puii cies and la he Able to put pre sure on Olla a to Lollus Hie Kiburis of i Egin id policies they want a Muiir Chevit Iwu tiered so Stein i Haskeil in Inie in \ l St Germany. Provinces Pom in res Turcus bin Rich in Otlien to i sources such a Moniano would nut qualify fur resource until the Antimi due on resources exceeded he province s sur Luis in the Raiji Tunal equalization a a ale. Similarly. It evinces pour in Trade Unal t,i.\ suit res hut Rich in resources Sui ii As Saskatchewan would not Pav into resource equal Matiun until their resource wealth emcee led heir Deli ii Oil the inti Tinial t lid provinces Loir in la ugh , such a is Manitoba Yuuki or Hene Funarie. Of Huth Aid i Sli orce equal Luis equalize ration in the words of former Federal finance minister Mitche Sharp is designed of he Quot a redistribution of wealth so that All provinces Are Able to provide to their citizens a reasonably comparable level of Basic ser aces without resorting to unduly burdensome Levels of the system worked smoothly so Long As the Federal government had equal Access with the provinces to All wealth generated in the country Ontario for All its bogeyman image in the West never had any pools of wealth sequestered out of Ottawa a reach. But the major source of new wealth Oil . Are beyond the Federal Juveni of enl a , a further unfairness is doonesbury generated by the fact that provinces such As Alberta can afford to give their Cuzzens the lowest traditional taxes in the country. Provincial income corporation or sales Tam holidays further Edtice Federal Access to that wealth for equalization purposes. Fiscal arrangements Are More import uni than people think a Courchene says Quot How much Power Ottawa and the provinces have depends on one thing Money. The distribution of revenues cannot he constrained if Yau warn Rij he ivc a this been a est need As the Quot glue Quot Hiir holds Canada Foge her Kinue it. Flu uni mini concept Hasu Lions ill Iii Ilir Uirl a Previn civil and in Edc fld j to Pinni fib us to Isief i Vanl Jfe is a hat it Proust j Way us Recycle a in Irmith i so Zirel a Al Enisz Jack through lie i Tuik Jiniv Atid eventual in la i a purple a Iio a id i ii it Iti Torii High High <.=Nerv prices i. Chief in advantage is Ifuku ii Ign ii. Canroy Urece Riali ies Krliu coir try. Giving in Hiir Adona Power i Valiliy a Jav incl a. A accept Richit or Noi. Run Ihu iry ii la i . Sii ined politicians Addil a Iti j Serijus fiscal Iniba Iiley ies Lii Joii to Wor Seii As ii Eun finues ii Gnu air ibid Price Cimic mini lieu i Bill Fin Alberta Fatus Annin ii a til a Eli a of 0 my t r. 1 lit i i if you in. Vex a am Quot Isau a in a in a a i amp in r a r. Uf�., a a a a i do fiut 7�p/i? by la a r a a a in Navab a Quot ;