Winnipeg Free Press

Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - September 24, 1981, Winnipeg, Manitoba Winnipeg september 1981 f focus Taiwan policy a danger for Deng by Michael Parks los Angeles times peking Deng the pow Erful Vic chairman of chivas nist had just finished outlining the successes of his policies Over the past three years at a conference of top leaders when another member of the ruling politburo and Comrade is the result of your Taiwan policy the atmosphere was electrified with tension from this direct Chal according to an insiders account in a left Wing Hong Kong Maga Deng Xiaoping was vulnerable on this and All present knew the question Hung in the final Deng dealt with it saying that patience was necessary before would be the Chal Lenger did not press the but the Point had been although this dramatic account in a usually Well informed Hong Kong Jour Nal cannot be directly confirmed highly placed chinese officials acknowledged that the Taiwan Issue is one of the most difficult and sensitive con fronting the peking Kuomintang stubborn nothing substantial has come from overtures of the past two Andone and this is one chinese official we think we Are having an Impact on the people of but the Kuomintang nationalist authorities remain this is very frustrating for and not everyone is As patient As Deng Xiaoe some foreign analysts go further in assessing the Domestic chinese importance of the Taiwan if Deng fails on he could then fail on a West european ambassador argues and another senior Western Diplomat the Taiwan Issue could derail everything else Deng is trying to if Engs conciliatory approach to the chinese nationalists fails to bring Taiwan reunification with the main these analysts then a backlash could sweep the destroying the opening to the West and probably other aspects of the political and economic liberalization under this is not because the Taiwan Issue is Central to the Success of Denis Basic but because it relates to the legitimacy of his As Deng increasingly relies on Chi Nese traditionally one of the strongest political forces analysts believe he must satisfy the height ened demand for chivas reunification that results from if he does then he is not the nationalist he claimed to and he becomes vulnerable on Many other Taiwan is a unique question for us an official close to the Central leadership remarked last it is one on which everyone agrees on the but there Are a number of Points of View on the Means to reach for More than two it has not been the most prominent Issue in any internal but it is far from Deng Xiaoping has moved very boldly on As he has on other and there Are some who Are sceptical about these Deng has put Forward the most Forth coming terms that the communists have offered the nationalists since when the Kuomintang army was Defeated and retreated to Taiwan under Chiang if the nationalists will now a knowl More focus on Page 8 Edge the communist regime in peking As the government of All including they have been promised they would be Able to retain their present social and even political system on a plus their armed their present Trade and cultural contacts with foreign countries everything except their As one chinese official put Chiang the nationalist president and son of the late Chiang might even be made a top government the leadership Here has we have adopted reasonable poli cies toward Premier Zhao Ziyang said not Long ago in Welcom ing a nationalist air Force officer who had defected to the Mainland with his american made the Taiwan Peoples Way of life and the present system in Taiwan Are not to be and the Taiwan Peoples living Standard is not to be we place Hope on the people and authorities in Taiwan and believe that More and More people will support the peaceful reunification of the Mother but the nationalists have to each communist Over rejecting even the possibility of and Deng has come under criticism As a it for offering too chinese Are worried that any mishandling of the Taiwan Issue now May lose a unique Opportunity to reunify the these sources not Only has the United states with drawn formally As Taiwan basically altering the situation of the past three but recent policy changes Here under Deng should help ease the fears that a communist take Over would destroy one of the strongest economic systems in Chiang the nationalist is regarded As a Patriot who would like to see the country reunified and who is Strong enough to negotiate such a his successors might not Only be too weak to conclude and carry out an agreement with the communists but also perhaps More interested in letting the question die and Taiwan go its own Chiang Chingkum is a Man we know and could Deal with better than any of his Likely a communist party official Here remarked but he is 71 and not in very Good so we feel some urgency in opening the same of could be applied to Deng would be far More Able than his successors to make the concessions and chinese sources say that More would certainly be forthcoming during negotiations that would be necessary for Taiwan is old 77 this year and he Speaks often of wanting to reunify the country before his historic Mission chivas reunification is the historic Mission of our said a history professor at peking a Man nearly Denis it is a question of chivas so integrity and Honor same factors that were present in the 1911 revolution that overthrew the qing dynasty and again in the communist this is an uncompleted task that we want to at the same making peace with the the communists foes for 60 would also Settle the final question about the regimes legitimacy by getting nationalist recognition of the 1949 communist As marxist Leninist revolution the communists portray them selves As the successors to Sun who led the 1911 revolution and whom the nationalists have always although most chinese seem to accept the Validity of those reasons for Denis offer of peaceful Reu Ifica others ask Why they fought the nationalists from 1927 Only to Welcome them Home or argue that conciliation has Only made the nationalists More determined not to ninety five per cent of the people Back this 1 would say a Chi Nese journalist but the other five per cent is Well represented in the Lead in the manner of chinese Denis critics Are Likely to coalesce around that Issue on which he is most and that makes Tai wan an increasingly sensitive question As his various economic and social reforms begin to produce re one measure of the increased sensitivity is the sharper reaction Here to american proposals to sell advanced warplanes to every time an american senator or congressman lets sell weapons to the question of Taiwan reunification with the motherland is raised in Peoples a chinese foreign policy official and when the Reagan administration seems to be verging in the same questions arise about our relationship with the United peking position As it was when full diplomatic relations were established with Washington in late that the United states should not sell Taiwan arty that doing so Only delays the islands peace Ful reunification with the Mainland by making the nationalists cocky and bolstering their refusal to within the chinese political policy toward Taiwan is a very important Issue chinese officials say frankly that the whole new sino Ameir can relationship could be jeopardized by major arms sales to Taiwan and the implication they leave is that the balance of Denis b the foreign and would then be strenuous efforts of Deng Xiaoping to heal split Between peking and Taipei could backfire on him if Taipei Coutts Flop May have helped Caccia Ottawa Cabinet no matter How appears to held one the Eyebrow Raiser in this weeks realignment of the Cabinet was the appointment of Charles a Veter an Toronto my As minister of Caccia is a hard working member but had not distinguished himself in the House and committee any More than several other Toronto area at least in the opinion of Toronto area the explanation for Maccias promo Tion probably lies in the devastating by election defeat suffered by the Liber als in Spadina Riding in the defeat has been to loss of the ethnic born in Milan and very much a part of Toronto new Canadian Cul is counted on to win Back that d d d the appointment of Jack Austin to the Cabinet was rumoured but still a Little Austin has served prime minister Trudeau in various roles As Deputy minister of Energy and As principal Secretary in the prime ministers and most recently on the joint committee on the Constitution of Austin had received some Reward for his efforts with his appointment to the the Cabinet on the appears to be overdoing Ottawa diary Peter Thomson it is suggested that Austin will be expected to replace senator Ray Perrault As chief Liberal spokesman in Perrault has Laboured Long and attempting to Advance the Liberal cause in the far but without notable it is expected he will be asked to pass the Torch to d g d the other that of Serge Joyal As a minister of state without and that of former Premier Bennett Campbell to the veterans affairs were exit was also assumed that employ ment minister Lloyd Axworthy would relinquish responsibility for the status of women after his unfortunate Runin with Doris Anderson last Winter Over the holding of a constitutional Confer Judy minister of state mines takes Over the Campbells appointment brings representation to the Cabinet table for the first time since the death of former veterans affairs minister Dan at one time it was expected this would be a major Cabinet shuffle but the defeat of Jim Coutts in the Spadina by election left no focal Point about which to revolve All of the really major portfolios remain a further Cabi net shakeup is possible at year according to pm but it is difficult to know whether something is or whether the Rumor is to appease those who feel this shuffle turned up a cold d d d there have been other developments attracting More interest in Ottawa in the past two one was the sudden conversion of Ontario Premier Bill Davis and new Brunswick Premier Richard Hatfield into Trudeau it is not that surprising to have people criticize the Trudeau govern ment for economic mismanagement but Davis and Hatfield had Doc Lely followed the Federal Leader through constitutional ups and Downs and through economic to have them turn on the hand that has been feeding them seemed most the and most explanation for the sudden conversion is that polls recently have shown Trudeau popularity on the Wane and the two Foremost Fence Sitters of Canadian poli tics decided it was time to shift with the d d d the bets Are starting to come Down on the supreme courts vitally important decision on the Constitution which is scheduled to be released almost everyone wants to Wager it will be a split decision vertically and that we Are the judges Are Likely to be divided on the Issue of the Federal governments Powers to unilaterally Patriate and Amend the Constitution and to implant an Amend ing formula in judges Are also Likely to be divided on the Issue of which parts of the proposed charter of rights lie within Federal jurisdiction and which Are a or provincial when it gets Down to How or judges will Rule each1 Way on the various issues the speculation gets one thing is the decision will go a Long Way toward shaping the future Canada and determining the degree of centralization that will take unless stopped by the courts the Trudeau government clearly intends to pull More and More Power to leaving the provinces eventually As glorified whether the provinces will acquiesce in the pull of the really big Federal liberals seek greater lottery pro fits no one should be surprised by the Federal governments intention to re enter the gambling the Only Surprise is that it took so after it has been 19 months since the liberals returned to at no time did they indicate a willingness to get out of that and even though loto which had been established to help pay off the Montreal olympics debt was to expire at the end of there was a Bill on the order paper Early that year to keep it in with the profits going primarily for culture and Amateur the did not like the scheme and after their election in sports minister Steve Paproski said his government would end its involvement with the National he wanted the provinces to Divide the million Gold Leav ing Ottawa a share of the profits to meet commitments to National sports after six months of an agreement was reached and both sides seemed while the Federal government backed Down from its demand for six per cent of annual the provinces would continue support of Amateur groups which had been financed by loto according to the Ottawa would receive a under the dome Ariene Billinkoff minimum of million a and that figure was merely a to be increased in relation to Manitoba sports minister Bob ban Man liked the saying it would save at least million through reduction of overhead since com Peting distribution networks and advertising budgets would be on the other Ottawa would not suffer since it would have a healthy share of the there was a flexibility to the allowing it to be terminated or renegotiated with the consent of All parties while the provincial governments and the Federal tories welcomed the the Liberal disapproval was Evi Dent from the Pierre Trudeau said loto Canada had been scheduled to provide million to million for sport and cultural since the new agreement provided no guarantee that the Federal government would meet those commitments without in creasing he believed it was an abandonment of Federal As a when his party returned to Power in changes while the new sport minister Gerald Regan wanted the provinces to give Ottawa a larger share of the he began dropping hints about the establishment of a new Feder Al that hint created an immediate negative reaction and the Ontario culture minister Reuben Baetz indicated that if it his government was pre pared to go to the continued he would do nothing to improve Federal provincial his prediction was Correct and when Ottawa returned its first instalment share of the lottery a major confrontation Between the two Levels of government was under Banman believed there was an attempt to re Nege on the agreement which had been signed in Good Faith and the Cheque was not cashed because that action might be interpreted As an expression of in Regan insisted the agreement had been incomplete and the Federal share was while the Cheque was eventually he made it Clear that his governments position had not judging by the recent the acceptance of the Cheque was merely a stalling procedure until plans for the new sports wagering Pool were under that which would Lead to the establishment of another Crown corporation and changes in the criminal a Pool participant must correctly pick game anticipating negative Regan insisted the Pool would be differ ent from the but the provinces As one minister it was like trying to differentiate Between a Hare and a it violated the spirit of the 1979 charged and would compete directly with Why was Ottawa doing he asked it had gained an extra million with the current plan and would get considerably More in the what about the promises if the Federal government reentered the he predicted a More aggressive Atmo with the Public being bombarded by advertising and a duplication of Banman was extremely Dis appointed that Ottawa was acting with out any discussion with its provincial what could the provinces do Ontario and Quebec had been talking about withholding lottery payments to Ottawa and seeking court but it was evident All provinces would have to work together if they wanted to accomplish it was going to be a difficult Banman because the Federal government had used very interesting tactics and not everything meets the its what we dont know that were scared Treyve got you coming and Treyve got All angles co Banman May be who always objected to provinces control of the has bet they will not with hold the Federal because if that occurred Ottawa would feel free to reenter the lottery it was like a cat and mouse but the Federal cat appeared to have the How else has it stayed in Power doonesbury phone head of cwt Jials con new 5rapicajioh program will 70 ;