Winnipeg Free Press

Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - July 28, 2006, Winnipeg, Manitoba Top news Winnipeg free press Friday july 28, 2006 a7 poll shows pm the numbers losing ground in ont., que. harpers Hopes for majority dimming by Joan Bryden o Ottawa ? a new poll suggests Stephen harpers Post election surge in popularity has dissipated and dimmed his chances of turning his minority government into a major Ity. The prime ministers conservatives lost ground in the country a two crucial battlegrounds Ontario and Quebec according to the Decima poll made exclusively available to the Canadian press. The Decima results arrive like a bucket of ice water amid fevered speculation that Harper will try to Engineer the defeat of his government this fall Over the softwood lumber Deal. Harper has said the agreement aimed at ending the longstanding softwood Trade dispute with the United states will be put to a vote in House of commons in october. He has declared it will be a Confidence vote meaning the govern ment will fall if a majority of maps vote against the Deal. All three opposition parties have declared their opposition to the Deal. The liberals afraid that Harper will pull the plug before they elect a new Leader dec. 3, have prepared Contin gency plans to accelerate the leadership selection process. And they be begun nominating candidates without waiting for a new Leader to put his or her stamp on the election team. But Decima research ceo Bruce Anderson said All parties might want to Cool their Campaign jets. The poll suggests a snap fall election would to be in any party a interests with the possible exception of the separatist bloc quebecois and would produce virtually identical results to last january a vote. As debate heats up about a possible fall election these patterns might argue caution for the conservatives caution for the liberals and caution for the nip Anderson said. The Telephone Survey of 1,009 Cana National conservatives 36 per cent liberals 30 per cent new democrats 17 per cent. Quebec bloc quebecois 43 per cent conservatives 23 per cent liberals 18 per cent nip 8 per cent Ontario liberals 43 per cent conservatives 33 per cent nip 18 per cent source Canadian press Diane was conducted july 20-23, amid controversy Over harpers unequivocal support for Israel a bombardment of Lebanon despite the rising civilian death toll. The conservatives also came in for severe criticism for their initial response to the chaotic evacuation of canadians fleeing Lebanon. A Sample this size is considered accurate within plus or minus 3.1 percentage Points 19 times in 20. Decima found support for All the Par ties had returned to almost exactly the same Levels that produced the conservative minority last january. Nationally the conservatives had the support of 36 per cent the liberals 30 per cent and the new democrats 17 per cent. In the two provinces that will deter mine whether Harper can turn his minority into a majority the conserva Tives had lost the ground they gained during a Post election honeymoon. In Quebec the province Harper has wooed most assiduously the poll found the by had rebounded to 43 per cent up Wayne Cuddington can West news five Points since a Decima poll in May while the tories had slipped six Points to 23 per cent. The liberals had 18 per cent and the nip eight per cent. And in Ontario where the tories and liberals had been neck and neck As recently As mid june the poll found the liberals had pulled into a nine Point Lead with 43 per cent support compared to 33 per cent for the conservatives and 18 per cent for the nip. More details on the poll can be found at . ? 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