Winnipeg Free Press

Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - October 28, 2006, Winnipeg, Manitoba A17 Winnipeg free press comment editor saturday october 28, 2006 Gerald flood 697-7269 and beyond tests defy greenhouse american dilemma warming . Voters should punish Bush not iraqis theory by Dennis t. Avery t he greenhouse theory says the atmosphere above us should warm faster than the Earth a sur face around us. But this does to seem to be happening. For example compare California temperatures in the states Central farming valleys with the read Ings on the Sierra Nevada mountains just above them. John Christy a native of the Valley now at the University of Alabama Huntsville has done just that. He recently led a team that digitized the old manual temperature records and adjusted for any change that could have altered the individual station records location instruments paving Etc. The adjusted record says the san Joaquin valleys minimum summer fall temperatures have risen about 3 c since 1910 ? a Rise that is not detectable in the adjacent Sierra Christy says the big reason for the Mountain Val Ley differential is that the Central Val Ley today is irrigating an additional one million acres of Farmland. Human Engi Neering of the environment has changed a highly reflective desert into a Darker moister vegetated Plain that absorbs More heat. However the big news from the More accurate record is that the Sierra Nevada mountains show Only a tiny warming trend ? 0.02 c per decade from 1910?2003. Why did to the Sierra Nevada warm More the carefully adjusted records of the virtually undeveloped Sierra Nevada weather stations disagree with the global climate models. And High Altitude stations Are where the greenhouse theory says the signs of human induced warm ing should be clearest. Then we have the the cur discrepancies Between rent warm the surface therome ing began ters and the High Alti tude balloons and about satellites. Seven out of 1850, eight data sets on upper air tempera before Tures in the tropics much show much less warm human ing in the atmosphere than on the Earth a sur emitted face according to co2, and Christy a july 20, 2006, testimony before con the record Gress. Christy Points includes out that the tropics such Errata make up one third of the planets surface. In events he warns that seven As the data sets Are very unlikely to differ from global the eighth in the same Cooling Way by random from 1940 Chance. Christy a conclusion to 1975 there is Likely a significant difference Between the surface and atmospheric trends with the Atmos phere being cooler. This is significant because All Model simulations indicate the atmosphere should be warming faster than the surface if greenhouse influences Are correctly included in Cli mate he believes that the Earth is warming slowly and that some part of the warm ing could be related to additional Green House gases. However he says we have no Way to know How much of the 0.6 c warming of the 20th Century has been natural. Ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica brought up in the 1980s have told of a Long moderate irregular 1,500-year global warming Cycle linked to the Sun. It was too moderate and masked by too much natural climate variability to be discerned by primitive Peoples without thermometers or written records. It has since been found in seabed sediments tree rings Glacier retreats stalagmites pollen fossils seashells and prehistoric dwelling Sites All Over the world. The current warming began about 1850, before much human emitted co2, and the record includes such erratic events As the global Cooling from 1940 to 1975. The 1,500-year Cycle explains our warming better than the greenhouse theory. If we subtract the 0.5 degree c of warming that occurred before 1940 from the Overall warming of 0.7-0.8 degrees a that does to leave much to generate scary scenarios about human emitted co2. Christy a new paper strengthens the Case for examining natural warming factors besides co2, such As the broadly documented 1,500-year Cycle. Christy says he is unimpressed by claims that today a weather is unusual. In his experience weather is always erratic and wildly variable ? and humans always think its unusual. Dennis t. Avery was a senior policy Ana Lyst for the . State department where he won the National intelligence medal of achievement. He is the co author with atmospheric physicist Fred Singer of the forthcoming Book unstoppable global warming ? every 1,500 years. Migrant mexicans could boost Manitoba the economist w Hen a great democracy such As the United states holds elections at a time of War voters Are torn Between two instincts. One is to show grit and Solidarity by rallying around the Flag and the president. The other is to treat the election As a referendum on the War. Ever since september 11, 2001, George Bush has milked the first instinct for All it is Worth. But hav ing gained so much from presenting himself As a War president Bush can hardly complain now that the voters Are moving in the ing Deal that could end the civil War. The real Choice facing America and its allies in Iraq is whether to persevere with this strategy in the Hope of eventual Success or admit failure now and Start to head for the exit. For the politicians and newspapers like ours who argued strongly for the invasion of Iraq it is no longer enough to accuse those who want to head for the exit of cutting and running As if using a pejorative phrase settled the argument either Way. Cutting your losses is sometimes the sensible thing to do even for a superpower and even after paying a heavy Price in lost lives and wasted Money. If you genuinely believe As Many people now do that the likeliest Long term outcome in Iraq is that America will end up cutting and running anyway with no improvement to be expected even three or Tion of Success was always a Peculiar one to apply to a War the United states launched primarily to secure its own interests. A failure to turn Iraq into Switzerland Means Nei ther that Iraq is fated to collapse altogether nor that its people Are doomed to perpetual fratricidal War. The question americans need to ask is what Impact their own staying or going is Likely to have on the balance of probable outcomes. And in answering this question the Case for stay ing becomes a Good Deal stronger. By persevering America stands at least some Chance of putting Iraq on a More stable trajectory. By leaving it is almost certain to make things worse. At a minimum americas continuing presence in s sometime after lunch on a recent saturday i could to get my mind off mexican food. Real mexican food ? the kind you find cheap in an inner City Saqueria not at some corny overpriced Tex mex theme restaurant. Since the Saqueria is a concept yet to arrive in Winnipeg i was obliged to make my own Gordinas thick tortillas made from a Spe Cial sort of Nita Mali Zed Corn flour called Masa Harina ? not stocked at any local super Market of which i a aware. Fortunately Elizaldo a mexican grocer on Sargent Avenue Sells Masa and is just a Quick walk from my Kitchen which would soon smell like the Taque Rias i had loved in new York Chicago and san Francisco. Given that mexican immigrants Are few in Winnipeg its amazing Elizaldo exists. According to the 2001 census there were Only 105 immigrants of mex ican birth occupying the inner City. Even relatively Northern cities such As Boise and Minneapolis have sizable hispanic populations. Why not Winnipeg on the Rise. Valley Park mo., a St. Louis suburb has made it illegal for employers to hire or landlords to rent to illegal immigrants. Louis j. Barletta mayor of Hazelton pa., has vowed to get rid of the illegal people. Its this simple they must Hazelton landlords who rent to undocumented immigrants face fines of $1,000 daily employers who hire them will have their business licences revoked for five years. Members of the . House of representatives have called for making illegal residents a felony. Should things get too rough for illegal immigrants in America they might head North to Cross another Border and we should Welcome them to Winnipeg ? which lies at the end of the proposed Nasco North America super corridor coalition superhighway connecting us to Mexico City via Kansas City and san Antonio Texas. Compared to the heavily patrolled California Arizona and new Mexico Frontier barging the Manitoba Border would at least during summer months be a cakewalk for mexican migrants. Were it not for immigrants Winnipeg a population would be in net decline. The businesses established in recent years by immigrants from overseas have put new life and culture Back into an inner City that had been Long abandoned by Middle class ethnic europeans. If Urban infill is being stymied by the Market demands of Middle class Whites ? who it is claimed Are interested Only in detached single family suburban Homes ? then we should View the discord South of the Border As an Opportunity at a civic level to attract Large numbers of an eth Nic group who have a proven track record of embracing Urban life. Said Opportunity might be fleeting. For now a hard line on immigration has populist momentum observes the economist in a june article. But this will surely Flag As have the country a previous outbreaks of xenophobia be they against chinese japanese Irish or even the debate is hardly one sided. Jim Gilchrist founder of the minutemen civil defense corps ? a group of civil ians who patrol the . Border them selves ? found himself mobbed by Multi racial student protesters earlier this month while giving a speech at new Yorks Columbia University. Among those siding with the mexicans is the economist itself which in a March 31, 2001, cover Story let the huddled masses in wrote the world has made the movement of goods Money and ideas Freer but not strangely the movement of people. It is both right to give Des Perate people Sanctuary and rewarding to Welcome new citizens. History has shown that immigrants bring ideas Vigour and ambition As Well As their Mere former . President Bill Clinton Calls the debate a wedge Issue saying its a Way of creating a divided Community and distracting people from the real challenges facing the country whether it is in Iraq and Afghanistan or Homeland Security or How to build a clean Energy future or How to solve the health care crisis or How to create new jobs for sure its easy enough to say that would be immigrants should seek Legal channels. But the current system is stingy and full of holes. Unskilled mex ican workers who would face Little Cul Ture Shock Here have almost no Chance to come to Canada within the current Structure. Meanwhile african refugee claimants from troubled countries with skeletal economies Are accepted in droves. But the futility of trying to Stop Ille Gal immigration is Best shown in a recent Abc news interview at the . Mexican Border with . President George w. Bush. We got lights we got cameras we re Gonna have infrared motion detectors says Bush while in the background behind him a group of mexicans jump Over the Border Fence. ;