Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - June 27, 2012, Winnipeg, Manitoba
C M Y K PAGE A6
A 6 WINNIPEG FREE PRESS, WEDNESDAY, JUNE 27, 2012 MANITOBA winnipegfreepress. com
MF22068- 0512
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I S this the end of the much- vaunted Manitoba Advantage?
For most of the last 13 years, the NDP government
here has trumpeted " the Manitoba Advantage," a slogan
that envelops the reasons this province is the best place
in the country to live and work. The Manitoba Advantage
included clean air and water, modest housing prices and,
perhaps most importantly, cheap electricity. Although it's
more marketing than mathematics, the Manitoba Advantage
was a hit.
First and foremost, it was designed to make Manitobans
feel good about living in Manitoba. As many of us know,
leaving Manitoba and then moaning and whining about
what it was like back home is the
right of any former Manitoban. The
Manitoba Advantage was a soothing
salve for all the sharp- tongued
resentment former Manitobans love
to emit, and the chronically poor selfimage
remaining Manitobans can't
help but display.
However, the Manitoba Advantage
was also part of a campaign to attract
immigrants and businesses. And in
those goals, there was perhaps no
greater lever in the Manitoba Advantage
tool box than Manitoba Hydro.
Cheap electricity has been a benefit to Manitobans.
Although many lower- tax advocates want to tie themselves
into knots worrying about how our tax brackets compare
with Alberta's, the low cost of living in Manitoba is a
benefit. And cheap electricity is a big part of that. However,
cheap electricity has never really been the great economic
development tool as it was once billed.
Businesses did come to Manitoba for the cheap electricity.
But they did not employ many people or produce much
in the way of value or wealth in the province's economy.
There is a strong baseline of economic activity from the
construction of new generating stations, but it will not leave
behind lasting wealth or employment.
Hydro has never been, and will never be, to Manitoba
what oil is to Alberta or Newfoundland. As the price of the
black gold rises, so too do government royalties. Electricity
has never produced the level of revenue oil has. Manitoba
collects " water rental" taxes, a fee on the amount of water
that flows over and through Hydro's northern dams. However,
those taxes are not tied to the price of electricity, and
so have none of the growth potential of oil and gas royalties.
Electricity is a valuable commodity, but the sale of it is
limited to customers who are hooked up to the same grid as
the generating stations. Manitoba once dreamed of seeing
an east- west national electricity grid built that would allow
it to send electricity to provinces to the east and west. The
grid was dashed by its sheer cost, and along with it, the
dream of earning billions in electricity sales to Ontario's
industrial heartland.
That leaves us with transmission lines south to Minnesota
and Wisconsin. And while those contracts have been lucrative
for Hydro, they are becoming less lucrative over time.
Why? The culprit is natural gas. Huge, cheap reserves of
natural gas pried out of rock formations by high- pressure
water and chemicals in a process called fracking.
Despite its very questionable environmental footprint,
fracking has flooded the U. S. market with cheap natural
gas, much of which is being burned to generate electricity
sold at rates much lower than Manitoba Hydro's export
prices. Fracking has completely turned the North American
energy market on its ear, and in the process significantly
lowered Hydro's long- term outlook.
In recent filings to the Public Utilities Board, Hydro
concedes it now expects to earn $ 1.1 billion less in export
revenues over the next 10 years, and $ 4 billion less over the
next 20 years. That's particularly bad news at a time when
Hydro is spending billions to build new generating stations.
Hydro's own outlook should be the cause of significant
concern by the province and its citizens. To maintain some
semblance of balance between its debt and equity, Hydro
is asking for rate increases. Although there are many ways
to slice a Hydro rate increase, it is certainly reasonable to
conclude a major factor - perhaps the major factor - in
those rate increases is the rising debt from building new
generating stations that will earn less revenue than envisioned
when the dams were conjured by Hydro engineers.
There was a time when it was tough to see how Manitoba
Hydro wouldn't be a major advantage to the citizens of this
province. Unfortunately, it was also tough to see how natural
gas would return to become a dominant competitor.
We have a long way to go before the Manitoba Advantage
becomes a disadvantage. But we know now it's not quite the
advantage we thought it was.
dan. lett@ freepress. mb. ca
NEIL Burnet has never heard of Ferris
Bueller's Day Off . But if he did, he wouldn't
get it.
Burnet has just completed the odyssey of
attending more than 2,500 straight school
days without missing a single day. Burnet
graduated last week from Lundar School in
the Interlake with perfect attendance from
kindergarten to Grade 12.
His record is less about good health and
more about loving school, the 17- year- old
said.
" There's a reason I didn't miss a day of
school. I loved going. I'd still go to school
even when I was sick," he explained.
Where else can you meet with hundreds
of other kids every day, get to play in a
gym ( the 6- 2 Burnet was a power forward
on the school basketball team), and engage
in classroom banter while learning new
things?
He started thinking about the " iron man"
streak in Grade 4, when some teachers
pointed out he hadn't missed a day of school
yet. They joked he had a chance to have a
perfect attendance record if he didn't miss
any days for the next eight years. That
planted the seed.
" I just wanted to do it and, after every
year, I realized it could be done," he said.
His friend, Chris Kaartinen, said Burnet
was already talking about making the record
in Grade 9. But Burnet's determination
didn't rub off on friends. " I won't put myself
through the torture of going to school
sick," Kaartinen said.
There were days, as graduation neared,
when Burnet had to be practically carried
to school on a gurney to keep his record
intact. Some days he was so sick he had
trouble keeping his stomach down and kept
a bottle of Pepto- Bismol in his pocket.
Friends thought he was crazy, Burnet conceded.
But they became very supportive as
graduation approached. He wasn't in class
one morning and everyone panicked. Students
left the classroom on a search party.
They were ready to call his home and drag
him to school if they had to, math teacher
Amy Tycoles said. But Burnet was only at a
meeting in another part of the school.
" A little bit," kidded Tycoles, Burnet's favourite
teacher, when asked if Burnet was
a freak. " He loves school. He wouldn't miss.
He would still make it in even if it was a
' snow day' ( when classes are cancelled),"
said Tycoles. " I've taught him five courses
in two years, so I've taught him every day
the past two years, and he's always happy
to be in class."
Tycoles has never heard of a perfect
school attendance record before and the
public school system doesn't keep track of
those records. But the Free Press electronic
library shows Corey Caron managed the
feat when he graduated from Daniel McIntyre
High School in Winnipeg in 2001.
The school year is about 200 days long.
The average student misses five to 10 days
of school per year, Tycoles estimated.
Burnet captained the varsity basketball
team the past two years and has served on
student council. He also made the honour
roll this year and was the valedictorian.
Lundar school didn't have an award for attendance
but made a special certificate to
honour Burnet's achievement.
He is the youngest of five children - he
has two sisters and two brothers. His mom,
Jenny Dunn, never urged him to stay home
when he was sick. She couldn't stop him anyway.
" He loved school so much," she said.
" I love school so much that I'm going to
go to university so I can become a teacher
and come back to school," he said.
bill. redekop@ freepress. mb. ca
The ' Manitoba
advantage'
takes a beating
DAN
LETT
In a class by himself
Perfect attendance from K- 12
By Bill Redekop
BORIS MINKEVICH / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS
Lundar School teachers congratulate Neil Burnet for graduating without having missed a day of class - including when he was sick.
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