Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - January 26, 2015, Winnipeg, Manitoba
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A ND the rules have changed, again.
The NDP's provincial council voted narrowly on
Sunday to allow some form of remote voting from
five northern ridings: Thompson, Flin Flon, The Pas, Kewatinook
and Swan River.
It is not known yet how people in those constituencies
will vote - mail- in ballot, electronic ballot - but we know
now any eligible delegate from any of
those ridings will not have to endure
the time and expense of travelling to
Winnipeg to participate in the March
8 leadership vote.
Sunday's provincial council result
effectively overturns a party executive
decision to not allow remote voting.
The executive elected to use normal
annual convention rules, which
require delegates to appear in person
to vote, and not special leadership
rules. That ruling was challenged by
Steve Ashton, the former cabinet minister now making his
second bid to lead the NDP.
Ashton, the MLA for Thompson, pushed hard for remote
voting because he has been able to generate an enormous
number of delegates in northern ridings by selling enormous
numbers of memberships. On Sunday, his campaign could
hardly contain its excitement at the provincial council vote.
" We're thrilled that northerners will be able to have their
say for the selection of leader," said Ashton spokesman
Christopher Sanderson.
Each riding gets 10 delegates for every 100 members in
good standing. Not surprisingly, at least not for people who
know Ashton well, several northern ridings will be among
the most delegate- heavy in this race.
Ashton's riding, for example, has qualified for 56 delegates,
one of the largest in the province. But that pales in comparison
to The Pas, which boasts 147 delegates. That is the largest
number of delegates from any single one of Manitoba's 57 ridings.
In fact, it is expected only one other riding, the Maples,
will generate more than 100 delegates for this convention.
Some have claimed the membership boost in The Pas is
due to the fact there is a byelection expected later this year.
As a super- safe NDP seat, with four candidates seeking the
NDP nomination, it's not surprising to see so many memberships
sold.
Others believe Ashton was using the byelection race as
a diversion to allow him to stockpile potential leadership
delegates. Allegations such as this are the burden of a man
whose ambition is only matched by his ability to sell memberships.
Regardless of the motivation, the
252 delegates available in those five
northern ridings could, theoretically at
least, play a major role in deciding the
leadership race, where it is estimated
700- plus votes will be needed to secure
a victory. Those northern delegates
will almost certainly play a role in
determining which candidates survive
to see a second ballot.
It is far too early to begin accurately
handicapping the leadership race, but
more and more New Democrats are
beginning to see the first ballot will
be a critical battle for Oswald and Selinger. In other words,
while Ashton might not have enough support to win the
leadership, it seems more and more likely he will have the
support to make the second ballot.
In 2009, in a head- to- head race that required only one ballot,
Ashton was not able to overcome a coalition of internal
constituencies that galvanized around Selinger's campaign.
When the votes were counted, Selinger garnered the support
of 1,317 votes to Ashton's 685.
If there had been a third candidate in the race - former
cabinet minister Andrew Swan dropped out halfway
through the leadership campaign - it was likely Ashton
would have led on the first ballot, and only one of Selinger
and Swan would have survived.
That scenario seems likely now it's a three- way race on
the first ballot, and all those northern delegates will have at
least a fighting chance now to participate.
Ashton's key to victory will be leading the first ballot,
and then forming a coalition to secure enough support from
whichever candidate drops out to win the second ballot.
And yes, there are a lot of " ifs" in that scenario. Ashton not
only has to win all the northern delegates at selection meetings
in February, along with a goodly number of delegates
from the south, he then must get them all to show up to vote
on March 8. Even with some form of remote voting, it is far
from a certainty he can do both. Northern delegates have
been notoriously unreliable in past leadership battles.
In 2009, Ashton was able to capture the gross majority of
northern delegates but not all of them showed up to support
him. In the end, it didn't matter that much, as Selinger was
able to secure the support of far many more delegates from
ridings in Winnipeg and southern Manitoba.
dan. lett@ freepress. mb. ca
NDP flip- flop
on voting
very good news
for Ashton
DAN
LETT
A WESTERN Manitoba First Nation set up teepees in the path
of Bipole III this weekend to protest Manitoba Hydro's decision
to push the transmission line through its treaty entitlement
land.
And at least one other First Nation set up its own teepee in a gesture
of solidarity Sunday.
The occupation is peaceful with about 30 people at the main camp
in a clearing next to Highway 10 between Swan River and The Pas,
Sapotaweyak Cree Nation Chief Nelson Genaille said by phone
from the site Sunday. A sacred fire for tobacco offerings was lit at
the main site to signal the peaceful intent.
" Our people are now standing up for their rights and interests,"
Genaille said in a statement.
A second teepee stands deeper in the bush. Both cross the path
of crews cutting a 200- kilometre stretch intended for the line. The
crews that are cutting the line work for a M�tis economic- development
company that won the contract to clear the Crown land, which
in addition to being claimed by Treaty 4, is also claimed by the
Manitoba Metis Federation.
A Court of Queen's Bench ruling Jan. 14 denied Sapotaweyak
Cree Nation's bid for an injunction to halt the work.
" I have exhausted the diplomatic and legal routes to voice our
concerns against this project. And regrettably, the Manitoba ministers
and Manitoba Hydro bigwigs did not take our concerns seriously,"
the chief said.
Manitoba Hydro said in a statement Sunday it considers the action
a blockade.
" At this time we are evaluating the potential impact of the protest
on our work in the area. Clearing work will continue where possible,"
said Hydro spokesman Scott Powell.
" Manitoba Hydro is reaching out to both the protesters and community
leadership to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."
Hydro will continue to evaluate its options and assess the situation,
said the spokesman, noting the legal options are firmly in Hydro's
favour.
" The community recently went to court to request an injunction to
stop work on project, but the courts denied the request," Powell said.
- Alexandra Paul
Teepees set up as protest
of Bipole III's planned route
SUBMITTED PHOTO
A sign in front of a teepee set up to protest the Bipole III route.
More New
Democrats are
beginning to
see the first
ballot will be a
critical battle
for Oswald
and Selinger
A_ 04_ Jan- 26- 15_ FP_ 01. indd A4 1/ 25/ 15 8: 55: 33 PM
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