Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - July 25, 2015, Winnipeg, Manitoba
C M Y K PAGE A3
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TOP NEWS
CITY EDITOR: SHANE MINKIN 204- 697- 7292 I CITY. DESK@ FREEPRESS. MB. CA I WINNIPEGFREEPRESS. COM
SATURDAY, JULY 25, 2015 A 3
O IL- INDUSTRY malaise has spilled
into southwestern Manitoba,
where drilling activity has plummeted,
fewer players are on the ground
and the number of cancelled licences
has skyrocketed.
Manitoba's modest oilpatch, which
grew rapidly in recent years, is retracting
almost as dramatically, thanks
to the significant plunge in oil prices severely
impacting Alberta's oilsands and
cooling off drilling activity in Saskatchewan
and North Dakota.
Manitoba Mineral Resources predicts
250 wells, most of them horizontal, will
be drilled in the province this year.
That's down 54 per cent from 2014,
when 464 wells were drilled in oil
plays near Waskada, Pierson, Cromer,
Virden, Birtle and other southwestern
Manitoba communities.
As recently as December, 350 new
wells were expected by the province
this year. The optimism was due to
the relatively cheap cost of horizontal
drilling and hydraulic fracturing in
southwestern Manitoba, where Bakken-
formation and Three Forks oil
deposits lie closer to the surface than
they do in North Dakota and Saskatchewan.
But as 2015 wore on, the province
revised its forecasts down, first to 280
wells for the year and now to the current
250 prediction.
" There is a slowdown. The numbers
definitely point to that," said Keith
Lowdon, director of the petroleum
branch within Manitoba Mineral Resources.
" When you compare what you
think was going to happen to what is
happening, we're down."
Oil companies are not only drilling
fewer wells in Manitoba. So far this year,
they've cancelled 135 drilling licences,
up from 26 cancellations in all of 2014.
Lowdon said some firms may be holding
off due to cash- flow issues while
others may be waiting for higher oil
prices to return. The price of a barrel
of crude is down by roughly one- third
since last summer.
" That could change tomorrow or this
afternoon," Lowdon said. " When prices
were up, nobody knew how long it was
going to last. Companies are waiting."
There are also fewer oil companies
active in Manitoba. The largest player
in the province remains Winnipeg's
Tundra Oil & Gas, which grew early
this year by snapping up Waskada- play
assets that belonged to EOG Resources
after the firm stopped drilling in the
area late in 2014.
Tundra is said to be in the process
of purchasing the Waskada assets of a
second firm, Penn West. The paperwork
has yet to be processed, but employees
have been notified, Lowdon said.
Officials at Tundra, which is privatelyheld,
could not be reached for comment.
As a result of Manitoba's oil- industry
contraction and concentration of ownership,
the sector's labour force is believed
to be down from the most recent estimate
of 5,500 workers. Lowdon said while
he does not have a current oil- industry
labour- force estimate, it's reasonable to
assume numbers are down.
This presumed labour- force decline,
however, pales dramatically in comparison
to the projected job losses of up
to 185,000 workers in Alberta, where
more- expensive oilsands operations
have been devastated by lower prices.
Manitoba's oil sector is just one piece
of this province's economic pie.
" If you look at the Manitoba economy,
although the ( oil) industry is definitely
impacted, it doesn't impact us
as much overall, because we're more
diverse," Lowdon said.
Direct revenues from oil production
have not dropped dramatically. Provincial
production taxes are down only
slightly, to $ 1.7 million during the first
quarter of the 2015- 16 fiscal year from
$ 2 million during the first quarter of
the previous year.
Petroleum royalties and fees, meanwhile,
actually rose to $ 2.8 million
during the first quarter of the current
fiscal year, up from $ 2.3 million during
the first quarter of the 2014- 15.
But this figure is skewed by a $ 700,000
land sale that took place this May, according
to the province.
The indirect result of Manitoba's oil
slowdown is more dramatic. In 2013,
the town of Waskada raked in roughly
$ 600,000 from a mineral- rights bequest.
This year, the newly merged
Municipality of Brenda- Waskada expects
to take in only $ 60,000 from mineral
rights, head of council Gary Williams
said.
More significantly, entrepreneurs
who purchased the town's hotel during
the recent oil boom have shuttered the
business, depriving Waskada of a fullservice
restaurant and gathering place,
Williams said.
" We understand what happens with
oil. We've been through it before," he
said, referring to a previous boom- andbust
cycle in the 1980s.
" You dump a lot of strange people in
your area. It's interesting. It's an opportunity
for some people to make a lot
of money, go back to where they live
and spend it there."
Williams said the strength of southwestern
Manitoba's agricultural economy
- which expects to reap the benefits
of excellent crop yields this year
- balances out the oil slowdown.
" It's amazing, because we've always
been part of the ( semi- arid) Palliser
Triangle. But we've been catching
showers," Williams said.
bartley. kives@ freepress. mb. ca
ALBERTA OILPATCH HURTING B12
As oil prices drop ....
$ 106.65
Price of a barrel of crude in June 2014.
$ 70.65
Price of a barrel of crude in June 2015.
... so does drilling activity
464
Number of oil wells drilled in Manitoba
in 2014.
350
Projected number of wells to be drilled in
2015 ( as of September 2014).
280
Revised projection for 2015 ( as of June).
250
Current projection for wells to be drilled
in 2015.
108
Wells drilled in 2015 ( as of July 20).
- source: Manitoba Mineral Resources,
Petroleum Branch
Oil- industry slowdown
Falling prices lead to fewer Man. wells, drilling licences
By Bartley Kives
RUTH BONNEVILLE / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS FILES
Manitoba Mineral Resources is predicting 250 oil wells will be drilled in Manitoba this year, down 54 per cent from 2014.
A_ 03_ Jul- 25- 15_ FP_ 01. indd A3 7/ 24/ 15 10: 34: 57 PM
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