Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - April 13, 2020, Winnipeg, Manitoba
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Leaks indicate the U.S. intelligence community
may have warned the White House as early as
January about the seriousness of the outbreak in
China.
Asked about media reporting that Beijing
fudged data on COVID-19, Deputy Prime Min-
ister Chrystia Freeland recently said Canada
turns to the World Health Organization for virus
information, given that a global response to the
pandemic is essential.
"Having said that, Canada is a very energetic
member of the Five Eyes and we have a close
and very important security-and-intelligence
partnership with the United States in the Five
Eyes, in NATO and in NORAD," Freeland told a
news briefing.
"A reason that we are able to have those con-
versations, which are very important in the crisis
that the world is experiencing today, is because
those conversations have been in private. And so
I am not able to share details of what is discussed
in those conversations."
It's quite possible that Canada saw some of the
early intelligence from the U.S., said Greg Fyffe,
former executive director of the international as-
sessment staff at the Privy Council Office.
Chances are also good that Canadian intelli-
gence assessments of COVID-19 have been pro-
duced from an array of sources, but such reports
are not made public and rarely leaked, he said.
Fyffe recalls tracking the H1N1 avian flu dur-
ing his time at the PCO.
"We were making sure that the intelligence
that was available was circulated," he said.
Wark acknowledges that Canadian intelligence
officials gather some health-related information.
But there is "absolutely no evidence" the major
players of the security community have col-
lectively focused efforts on a pandemic threat-
assessment mission, he said. There is also no
indication the Public Health Agency of Canada
has conducted its own open-source assessment of
the threat in recent years, Wark added.
After SARS, there was a sense the federal Inte-
grated Threat Assessment Centre, housed at the
Canadian Security Intelligence Service, would
regularly report on the pandemic danger, among
other looming problems.
However, tellingly, the unit soon morphed into
the Integrated Terrorism Assessment Centre.
"It went down that road, which is the road that
all of our security-and-intelligence resources
have gone down for so long," Wark said. "CO-
VID-19 is going to do far greater damage to
national security than terrorism ever did."
The intelligence community once saw terror-
ism as rather unsexy, said Mark Stout, a former
analyst at the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency.
But that changed after the Sept. 11, 2001 at-
tacks on the United States, and analysts who
study transnational issues like pandemics could
soon be getting more respect, too, he told an
online presentation sponsored by the Washington-
based International Spy Museum.
"I suspect we may see a similar reorientation
after this," said Stout, now a program director in
global security studies at Johns Hopkins Univer-
sity.
Fyffe said the pandemic's broad impact likely
has senior Canadian intelligence officials asking
basic questions.
"What does this mean for the resources we
have? What are the questions we want to ask?" he
said.
"It does happen from time to time that some-
thing changes significantly enough that you have
to really reorder all your sense of what the priori-
ties are."
At daily briefings, Canadian officials have
suggested there will be an opportunity to take
stock and do lessons-learned exercises when the
COVID-19 crisis abates.
Canada was better positioned than a number
of countries to respond to this pandemic because
it had learned from the SARS experience, Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau said last Friday.
"Similarly, as we go through this time we will
learn more things about how to be even better
prepared next time if this ever happens again, as
it is likely it will in the coming decades."
Wark says the lessons must be learned and ap-
plied immediately.
"The national-security intelligence advisers
should be turning the whole security intelligence
community around on as much of a dime as
possible to say, 'We are in the global pandemic
reporting business as of now. And we're going
to stay in that business when we're through this
crisis.'"
-The Canadian Press
CANADA ? FROM A1
To open or not to open economy
While Trump eyes May 1, others urge caution
P UBLIC health experts on Sunday debated the question of when to reopen portions of the U.S. econ-
omy, shuttered because of the corona-
virus pandemic, with several Trump
administration officials cautioning that
a target date of May 1 - floated by
U.S. President Donald Trump, among
others - may not be realistic.
"It is a target, and, obviously, we're
hopeful about that target, but I think
it's just too early to be able to tell that
we see light at the end of the tunnel,"
Food and Drug Administration Com-
missioner Stephen Hahn said on ABC
News' This Week. "I think it's just too
early for us to say whether May 1 is
that date."
The comments by Hahn and other
officials came on Sunday, when the
number of confirmed cases in the
United States stood at 551,896 and the
number of deaths reached 21,890. They
also came as news spread that one of
those who died after being infected
was a billionaire donor and personal
friend of Trump, New York real estate
developer Stanley Chera.
The overall picture of the virus's toll
remained devastating over the holiday
weekend.
In New York state, the epicentre
of the epidemic in the United States,
the death toll approached 10,000. The
Navajo Nation implemented a 57-hour
weekend curfew as cases in the hard-
est-hit part of Indian Country neared
700. And even as Pope Francis spoke
in a mostly empty St. Peter's Basilica
on Sunday, one pastor in Louisiana
pressed ahead with an Easter service
that drew hundreds of people, defying
the warnings of the governor and local
police.
Some experts, such as Anthony S.
Fauci, the director of the National
Institute of Allergy and Infectious
Diseases, argued Sunday that rather
than a sudden reopening of the entire
country, the United States should insti-
tute a "rolling reentry" into normal life
depending on the conditions in differ-
ent regions.
"It is not going to be a light switch,"
Fauci said on CNN's State of the Union.
"It is going to be depending where you
are in the country, the nature of the
outbreak you've already experienced,
and the threat of an outbreak that you
may not have experienced."
The transition could "probably start,
at least in some ways, maybe next
month," Fauci said. But he noted that
the virus could resurge later in the
year.
Christopher Murray, director of the
Institute for Health Metrics and Evalu-
ation at the University of Washington,
similarly voiced caution, warning
that lifting all restrictions next month
would probably mean that "by July or
August, we could be back in the same
situation we are now."
"Maybe some states can open up
mid-May," Murray, the creator of one
of the most widely cited coronavirus
models, said on CBS News' "Face the
Nation." "But we have to be very care-
ful and make sure that we don't sort
of lose all the effort that the American
people have put into closures by pre-
mature opening."
One governor put the choice facing
the country in stark terms.
"I fear if we open up too early . .
. that we could be pouring gasoline
on the fire," New Jersey Gov. Phil
Murphy, a Democrat, said on CNN. He
added: "Right now, the house is on fire,
and job number one is to put the fire
out."
Not all governors agree. Texas Gov.
Greg Abbott, a Republican, said Friday
that he plans to issue an executive or-
der this week addressing strategies for
how to reopen the state's businesses.
Trump has been pushing for resum-
ing business activity by May 1, people
familiar with the discussions have
told The Washington Post, and several
Cabinet secretaries have in recent
days publicly expressed hope that
restrictions could be at least partially
eased next month.
News of Chera's death was reported
Saturday by the Real Deal, a publica-
tion that covers the New York real
estate industry. A person familiar with
the situation, who spoke on the condi-
tion of anonymity because the person
was not authorized to speak about it,
confirmed Chera's death and friend-
ship with Trump. At a White House
briefing last month, Trump described
a friend who was "a little older" and
"heavy" who was in a coma due to the
coronavirus. That friend was Chera,
Vanity Fair reported.
While the federal government
does have the power to make recom-
mendations, the ultimate decision on
whether to reopen is up to each state.
The current federal guidance to avoid
social gatherings and work from home
expires at the end of April.
Public health experts say that for the
economy to be safely reopened, cer-
tain steps will need to be taken first.
Among other things, the United States
should mount a large-scale effort
to identify people who have been in
contact with the infected and conduct
widespread testing, and it should build
up health-care capacity. Because the
virus has a 14-day incubation period,
experts also say states should refrain
from moving toward relaxing their
restrictions until they have seen a
sustained reduction in new cases for at
least that long.
Trump's likely Democratic oppo-
nent in the general election, former
vice president Joe Biden, unveiled
his own proposal for combating the
coronavirus pandemic and reopening
the country. He echoed the guidance
of several experts on issues such as
testing, hospital readiness and contact
tracing. He also sharply criticized the
Trump administration's response.
"As we prepare to reopen America,
we have to remember what this crisis
has taught us: The administration's
failure to plan, to prepare, to honestly
assess and communicate the threat to
the nation led to catastrophic results,"
Biden wrote in an opinion article
published in the New York Times. "We
cannot repeat those mistakes."
While most Americans stayed
away from church on Sunday, Pastor
Tony Spell, who leads Life Taber-
nacle Church near Baton Rouge, La.,
planned to host 2,000 people in two
Easter services, he told The Wall Street
Journal. Central Police Department
Chief Roger Corcoran stood outside the
church and said not nearly that many
attended. He counted about 330 people
entering the morning service.
- The Washington Post
FELICIA SONMEZ, TAYLOR TELFORD
AND ELISE VIEBECK
SETH WENIG / THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Pedestrians seek a bit of escape on Coney Island. New York State's death toll from COVID-19 is about 10,000.
MONTGOMERY, Ala. - Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey
issued an emergency order Sunday temporarily
suspending state restrictions imposed because
of the new coronavirus if those restrictions could
interfere with people's safety while strong storms
were blowing through the South.
"On this Easter Sunday, Alabama faces the po-
tential for inclement weather, and we want all Ala-
bama families to be prepared for whatever comes
our way," Republican Ivey said in a statement.
She said shelters and community safe rooms
should remain open and maintain "reasonable
practices and procedures to prevent the spread of
COVID-19."
"My fellow Alabamians, stay vigilant, and stay
safe," Ivey said.
Alabama has at least 3,579 confirmed corona-
virus cases, the state health department said
Sunday. There have been 93 reported deaths in
COVID-19 patients, and state health officials have
so far confirmed 61 of those.
For most people, the coronavirus causes mild or
moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. But
for others, especially older adults and people with
existing health problems, the highly contagious
virus can cause severe symptoms or be fatal.
Like other states, Alabama has seen a rapid
increase in unemployment as businesses have
closed or drastically reduced their operations.
The Alabama tourism director, Lee Sentell, said
in a news release that one-third of the hotel and
food employees have lost jobs in two weeks.
- The Associated Press
Alabama eases virus restrictions as storms sweep the South
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