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VOL 153 NO 113
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READER SERVICE ● GENERAL INQUIRIES 204-697-7000
Province projects deficit climbing close to $2B
A
“DOOM and gloom” update on
the province’s finances Friday
included news of a forensic audit
of one health region, the payout of hun-
dreds of millions in legal settlements,
and a forecast deficit that’s grown to
nearly $2 billion.
The third-quarter report puts the
projected shortfall at $1.99 billion as of
Dec. 31, 2023, up from the $1.6-billion
deficit forecast at the end of Septem-
ber.
“The biggest drivers that have led to
this increase in the scope of the defi-
cit are tied to increases in health-care
expenditures that are mostly driven by
collective bargaining-related costs,”
Finance Minister Adrien Sala said at
a Friday news conference. “There was
a flurry of very last-minute collective
bargaining agreements that were put
in place prior to us arriving to govern-
ment. The impacts of those collective
bargaining agreements are now com-
ing online.”
After the NDP won the Oct. 3 prov-
incial election, the second-quarter
report released in December noted
decreased tax revenues, over-budget
health spending and forecast losses at
Manitoba Hydro. It showed the prov-
ince was on track for a $1.6-billion
deficit — which would’ve been the lar-
gest non-pandemic deficit in Manitoba
history.
Total provincial revenue is projected
to be $901 million below budget, main-
ly because of lower income from Mani-
toba Hydro as a result of drought con-
ditions, decreases in income taxes and
the government’s fuel-tax holiday.
The report indicates provincial fu-
el-tax revenue will be $101 million
below budget, mostly due to the Jan. 1
gas tax holiday. Previously, the govern-
ment estimated the tax pause to cost
$82 million in the final three months
of the fiscal year. Sala wouldn’t say
ahead of the April 2 budget if the six-
month gas-tax holiday will be extended
beyond July 1.
Expenses, meanwhile, are projected
to be $733 million higher than budget.
“This increase in expenses is large-
ly attributable to significant and un-
budgeted overspending in the health
care bureaucracy,” Sala said.
His government has ordered a for-
ensic audit of the Northern Regional
Health Authority and comprehensive
financial audits at Shared Health,
Winnipeg Regional Health Authority,
Interlake-Eastern Regional Health Au-
thority and Prairie Mountain Health.
While promising the government
would be accountable and transparent
in its budgeting, Sala wouldn’t say why
Northern Health is to undergo the aud-
it — only that it will be on a “somewhat
deeper level” than the audits in other
health regions.
“These audits are important because
we know that Manitobans want to see
value for our health care spending,”
Sala said. “We’ve seen health-care
spending go up in recent years but
we’re not necessarily seeing better
outcomes. These audits demonstrate
that we are concerned about the direc-
tion of health care spending and that
we want to see action to remedy that
and that it’s not acceptable to see these
increasing costs go up without better
outcomes for Manitobans.”
Northern Health CEO Raj Sewda
was not available for an interview Fri-
day but issued a statement about the
ordered forensic audit: “We welcome
and respect the audit process under-
way. Such exercises identify opportun-
ities for improvement, and learnings
for the benefit of patients and their
families on the health care journey.”
When asked about its “comprehen-
sive” audits, Shared Health and the
WRHA issued statements.
“We share government’s desire to
ensure funding is being used thought-
fully and efficiently in the interest of
patient care,” Shared Health said.
“We will be working with govern-
ment to review budgeting and spending
within the WRHA, and will co-operate
fully with the financial audit that will
be conducted,” the WRHA said.
Sala said the audits will review
budgeting and spending practices to
ensure “every single dollar that flows
will deliver real results for Mani-
tobans. We need to do things different-
ly. We need to budget differently than
the previous government,” Sala said.
The report also attributes the
worsening deficit to “provisions for the
settlement of longstanding lawsuits” in
the Families and Justice departments.
Sala declined to elaborate on the
lawsuits that were settled. Previously,
Families Minister Nahanni Fontaine
said the province was nearing a settle-
ment related to the clawback of the
federal children’s special allowance
from youths in the child-welfare sys-
tem.
The Manitoba Métis Federation de-
clined to comment Friday but a spokes-
person said stakeholders connected to
the children’s special allowance law-
suit may issue a statement Monday.
The fiscal update highlighted “major
expense variances” totalling $99 mil-
lion in the Families department and
$124 million in Justice.
“The last government did not prop-
erly prepare or budget for those costs,”
Sala said. “That’s what’s driving some
of this deficit increase that we’re see-
ing here today.”
Sala promised Manitobans would
be “very happy” with the NDP’s first
budget.
“We are going to be showing Mani-
tobans that we can both make the in-
vestments in the things that they want
to see us invest in as a new govern-
ment, namely health care and afford-
ability, while we show a path to bal-
ance,” said Sala.
The NDP has promised to balance
the budget in its first four-year term.
PC finance critic Obby Khan
questioned the New Democrats pre-
senting the province’s financial situa-
tion as “the world is on fire” and “doom
and gloom” that they will somehow
“magically” fix with their upcoming
budget.
Khan called them hypocritical for
promising transparency and account-
ability then refusing to explain the
reasons for ordering a forensic audit
in Northern Health or offering any
details on the families and justice de-
partment legal settlements.
“The NDP need to really come clean
with Manitobans on what’s really hap-
pening,” Khan said Friday. He said
they need to stop “the blame game”
and pointing fingers at the previous
government.
“They will have been in government
for half of this fiscal year. They are
responsible for the decisions and gov-
erning going forward and that’s the re-
ality of the situation,” Khan said.
danielle.dasilva@freepress.mb.ca
carol.sanders@freepress.mb.ca
Third-quarter fiscal report: audits ordered of regional health authorities
DANIELLE DA SILVA
AND CAROL SANDERS
RUTH BONNEVILLE / FREE PRESS
Finance Minister Adrien Sala delivers the third-quarter fiscal report Friday.
Slower growth forecast
PREMIER Wab Kinew has often said “the
economic horse pulls the social cart.” The
third-quarter fiscal update released Friday
indicates the economic horse won’t get much
bigger any time soon.
The report said real gross domestic product
growth is expected to be 1.4 per cent in 2023,
which is double budget expectations of 0.7 per
cent.
Growth of nominal GDP — the total value of
all goods and services produced in a given time
period — has also been revised up to 3.4 per
cent for 2023, compared to 2.2 per cent in the
budget.
Growth expectations in 2024, however,
are being dampened by extended periods of
elevated inflation and higher interest rates, the
report said. The province has lowered its forecast
real GDP growth to 0.6 per cent and nominal GDP
growth to 2.9 per cent.
“I think our economy is still dealing with the
impact of really high interest rates,” Finance
Minister Adrien Sala said. “The forecast suggests
2024 will see modest growth and more in 2025.”
Meanwhile, the province faces a whopping
$1.99-billion deficit.
When asked if the province would raise taxes
or lower spending, Sala would only say the
government would “invest where Manitobans
want to see us invest, while ensuring that we’re
mindful of our commitment to a balanced
budget in our first mandate.”
When asked it he’s concerned credit rating
agencies would downgrade Manitoba’s credit
rating, the finance minister said, “We are doing
a lot to make sure we are clear with them about
our plans to show how we’re going to bring our
budget back to balance.”
“As a new government, we’re going to do
everything we can to foster and enable that
growth in the best way possible.”
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