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Poilievre and Kinew
find common ground
T
HEY are worlds apart on a raft of
issues, but Conservative Leader
Pierre Poilievre said Thursday
he and Manitoba NDP Premier Wab
Kinew share many of the same goals.
The two leaders had just held an
hour-long meeting at the Manitoba
legislature.
“I enjoyed spending time with him,”
Poilievre told reporters after the meet-
ing, which ran twice as long as sched-
uled.
“I’m obviously a Conservative and
he’s obviously a New Democrat — that
doesn’t mean we can’t share priorities
and have good conversations together. I
think it was a good meeting,” Poilievre
said before attending his party’s “Axe
the tax” rally at the Winnipeg conven-
tion centre.
“We’ll meet with any provincial
leaders of any party who share our
common-sense goals in axing the tax,
building homes, fixing the budget and
stopping the crimes.”
Poilievre said Kinew is focused on
making energy more affordable, and
that he appreciates Manitoba’s provin-
cial 14-cent per litre fuel-tax holiday
that took effect Jan. 1.
Kinew has refused to sign a letter
written by seven premiers urging the
federal government to pause the April
1 carbon tax increase. Kinew has said
he believes Manitoba has a strong case
for the federal government to remove
its federal carbon levy here and that ef-
forts to get to net-zero will be unveiled
in the provincial budget April 2.
“I think he’s said he wants to exempt
Manitoba from the carbon tax and I
agree with that,” the federal Conserv-
ative leader said.
“The fact is that Manitoba produces
a phenomenal amount of green energy
through its hydroelectricity. Let’s make
clean green hydro electricity even more
affordable rather than make traditional
energy we still need more expensive.”
He said they both want more roads
and see more economic development. “I
shared my agreement with him on that
as well. We need to reduce the obstacles
so that we can dig more mines, harvest
more forestry, launch our ships from
more ports and bring home more pay-
cheques for our people,” Poilievre said.
“He’s a very impressive person,”
Poilievre said of Manitoba’s premier.
“He’s very knowledgeable and he
has a very ambitious set of goals and I
share a lot of them.”
carol.sanders@freepress.mb.ca
CAROL SANDERS
MIKAELA MACKENZIE / FREE PRESS
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre meets Premier Wab Kinew Thursday at the Manitoba Legislative Building.
Trudeau is correct, but no one believes him
F
OR reasons not entirely clear,
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is
unwilling to admit he has lost the
national argument over carbon taxes.
In a pre-budget barnstorming tour
of the country, Trudeau continues to
argue the underlying logic of carbon
pricing is sound, and the facts show
his government’s carbon levy has less
of an impact on inflation than critics
claim.
Trudeau has also continued to main-
tain that the accompanying rebate
program actually provides most Ca-
nadians at the lower end of the income
scale — the people who need relief
from the high cost of living — with
more than they pay in carbon tax.
If you take the time to drill down
into the numbers, Trudeau is not
wrong on either point. The problem is,
he simply cannot convince anyone he
is right.
The sheer size of the constituency
that opposes the April 1 increase in
carbon taxes has grown to the point
where it cannot be ignored.
Most premiers oppose another
increase in the tax, and they are joined
by most of the leaders in opposition
parties in those provinces. Meanwhile
lobby groups, including the Canadian
Taxpayers Federation, continue to
sound a shrill condemnation of the
measure.
However, no one has driven the
anti-carbon tax movement more than
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre,
who has pinned much of his future
electoral hopes and dreams on whip-
ping up and sustaining a high-pitched
contempt over the Trudeau govern-
ment’s carbon policies. Poilievre
brought his “Axe the tax” roadshow to
Winnipeg Thursday, complete with the
branded T-shirts that have become so
recognizable in recent weeks.
Measure the growing magnitude of
the anti-carbon tax community and
you can see there little or no chance
Trudeau is going to somehow magi-
cally change hearts and minds on this
issue before the next election.
Not that he and some knowledgeable
third parties aren’t still trying.
This week, more than 300 of the
country’s leading economists signed an
open letter that challenges Poilievre’s
claims about the tax, which calls sev-
eral of his talking points “myths.”
The economists argue the carbon tax
and the rebates are the most cost-ef-
fective way of helping lower-income
Canadians while also providing a
incentive to higher-income earners to
find ways to reduce their consumption
of fossil fuels.
Perhaps fuelled by that support,
Trudeau went on the offensive, sug-
gesting in Ottawa Wednesday that the
premiers who oppose the federal levy
have been “misleading Canadians” and
“not telling the truth.”
Notwithstanding the prime minis-
ter’s counteroffensive, he has largely
lost the public relations battle on
this issue. How and why is a story
that reveals both Trudeau’s inherent
weaknesses in communication, along
with the public’s irrational capacity to
swallow misinformation.
To wit: a lot of the debate over
carbon taxes has focused on whether
Canadians get more in rebates than
they pay in taxes. Much of the debate
is driven by a controversial study by
the parliamentary budget office.
The office report found that on av-
erage, Canadians pay several hundred
dollars more in carbon tax than they
receive in rebates. However, the data
shows eight in 10 Canadians who live
in provinces that use the federal car-
bon tax receive more in rebates than
they pay in carbon tax.
The disparity between the findings
is the result of an irrefutable reality:
a greater number of lower-income
citizens burn considerably less fossil
fuel and receive considerably more
in rebates than a much, much smaller
number of higher-income Canadians
who, quite frankly, are much better
positioned to weather the higher prices
of fossil fuels.
Not only do Canadians seem unable
to process this data, they dispute the
notion they even receive a rebate.
Every tax-filing household in the
eight provinces that employ the federal
carbon tax — approximately 12 million
people — receive a rebate. Yet, opinion
surveys consistently show that roughly
half of all respondents claim they did
not.
Ottawa has theorized that this is
because 81 per cent of those who
receive a rebate get it in the form of a
quarterly direct deposit, which is less
noticeable than receiving a cheque.
The other part of the debate that
Trudeau has lost is counteracting alle-
gations that carbon taxes have been a
major driver of inflation.
Anything that provides upward
pressure on the prices of goods and
services has a role in driving inflation.
But macro forces, such as supply and
demand, global trade dynamics and
price-gouging, play a much bigger role
than a single levy on a single commod-
ity that has a minimal impact on the
overall price of goods and services.
That is pretty much what Trudeau
has been trying to tell people about the
carbon tax. He’s just failed to get his
message across.
The end result for the prime minis-
ter is that the longer he tries to prove
that he is right on carbon taxes, the
greater the chance he will end up
being so colossally wrong.
dan.lett@winnipegfreepress.com
DAN LETT
OPINION
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